Question about the Humdrum Recognition.
BY:Prof. Abdi A. Jama.
Is
recognition a political or legal issue? The answer would be: it is both ways
indeed. However, in my view, it is much more political than legal. In this
context, the politics we are talking about is foreign policy whereas the law we
are talking about is international law. They both interact in a very dynamic
way to such an extent that it would often render international law unethical,
double-standard and immoral. Some times, you might, as an observer, come up to
a conclusion that what we call international law—per se-- does not exist, but
just mere super power game.
As
Somalilanders, shall we follow the political way or the legal one to attain the
humdrum recognition we aspire to? In succinct answer: no matter which path you pursue,
both of them might end up to international political arena. However, the
political one is much easier, for it starts and ends with politics without
involving any legal or military mission. This can be attained by building
partnership with some regional and international governments that might
recognize you out of their geopolitical interest in the region. However, building
partnership with such outside forces requires caution and creativity
simultaneously.
The legal
path starts dialogue with Mogadisho, --as being done right now—and might end to
one of two scenarios. The first scenario is to get Mogadisho recognize us, and
this would finish all the complications that are associated to the issue. The
second scenario arises if Mogadsiho refuses to recognize us. This might lead to
military confrontation in the long run that would inflict heavy losses on both
sides. Therefore this should be preculeded at any cost.
In the case
of second scenario, foreign countries would consequently intervene ostensibly
trying to stop war and start negotiation. However, this usually happens after
both sides already went under heavy devastation and loss of life.
So, given
that Somaliland is doggedly determined to break away, it is up to Mogadisho not
to choose the devastating bloody war path. In this scenario, the issue would be
automatically regional and international. It would be discussed in OAU as well
as in UN conferences. So it would turn out to be political down the road. And
therefore, it is regional and international superpowers that would harness it
for their geopolitical interests, perhaps by giving military support to this
side or to that side.
However,
history teaches us that things would end up to divorce with the help of outside
powers, knowing the fact that separation is much easier than imposing
unification. If Mogadisho people do not read the situation in the same manner,
it is waste of time trying to convince them!!!!!!
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